Enviado: 24 de Mayo de 2010, 19:29
Bien, aquí está la información del día:
*10*
NBA
8:30PM (ET) ORLANDO MAGIC EN BOSTON CELTICS.- ORLANDO +7,5
Incluyo la información completa (inglés) de porqué deberían ganar los de Orlando, o por lo menos no perder por más de 7 puntos... GO MAFIA!!! GO MAGIC!!! Jugar a Orlando y a cobrar se ha dicho.
Analysis: We are expecting two things to happen here. First, the Celtics will lose a bit of their edge and the Magic should “man-up” and try to avoid the humiliation of being swept as a favorite in a series.
Dwight Howard suffered a rare poor shooting effort in game three, being held to seven points on 3-of-10 shooting. The Magic are a perfect 8-0 in franchise history as a dog when seeking revenge for a loss in which Dwight Howard shot worse than 33% from the field.
Rashard Lewis was 2-of-8 from the field in game three, which committing four turnovers with no assists. The Magic are 6-0 ATS as a dog when seeking revenge for a loss in which Rashard Lewis had more turnovers than assists and 4-0 ATS as a dog when seeking revenge for a loss in which Rashard Lewis shot worse than 33% from the field.
Jameer Nelson committed four turnovers and had only two assists in game three. Again, this points to the Magic, as they are 5-0 ATS (+10.0 ppg) as a road dog when seeking revenge for a loss in which Jameer Nelson had more turnovers than assists.
In fact, no Magic player had more than two assists and they totaled ten for the game. Orlando is 6-0 ATS on the road after a game in which they had fewer than fifteen assists, covering by an average of 13.5 ppg. Their lone straight up loss in this spot came in the second game of last season’s finals when they lost 101-96 in LA in overtime as a 6’-point dog.
Also, the Magic are 4-0 ATS (+10.5 ppg) with at least one day of rest after a double digit road loss in which they shot less than 40% from the field, 8-0 ATS (8.6 ppg) as a road dog with at least one day of rest after a loss in which they scored more than 30% of their points from the three-point line, 7-0 ATS (8.6 ppg) off a loss as a dog in which they never led and 6-0 ATS (+6.8 ppg) as a road dog with at most one day of rest when they have lost their last three games SU and ATS.
Boston is 0-6 ATS (-9.7 ppg) with at least one day of rest after a win in which they committed fewer than ten turnovers, 0-5 ATS (-14.7 ppg) this season as a home favorite off a win in which they never trailed and 0-5 ATS (-8.3 ppg) at home after a home win in which they shot at least ten three-pointers and made at least half of them.
The Celtics are also 0-12 ATS as a favorite when less than two days rest when they are off a game in which they held their opponent to less than 40% from the field as long as their opponent made at least one three-pointer.
Playing brutal, in-your-face team defense is very tiring and requires a sustained effort. The Celtics have done this well the first three games of the series. Their adrenalin levels will naturally be attenuated here simply because they are up 3-0. The Celtics suffered a “let-down” in the opening round of these playoffs, when they allowed 50% shooting and lost 101-92 to the Heat when up 3-0 in that series.
The Magic went to the NBA finals last year. They were favored to win this series. They had won 14 straight games before this series. They are getting SEVEN points. We’ll take them.
MTi’s FORECAST: Orlando 94 BOSTON 91