Enviado: 05 de Junio de 2010, 20:06
Hoy comenzamos con dos super premium picks gratis para todos ustedes, incluyendo el MTI´s Forecast…será otro paquetazo de picks!!
Matchup: Padres at Phillies
Pitchers: Garland vs. Moyer
Time: 7:00pm ET
6/5 Premium Pick: PADRES (ML, +136)
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Analysis:
The Phillies are 3-12 their last 15 games and the three wins were by margins of 3-2, 1-0 and 3-2 respectively. They have not scored more than 3 runs in each of their last twelve games. In yesterday’s 3-2 win, they were out-hit 10-6 by the Padres, but benefited from five free passes. With Moyer going, the Phillies are going to need a lot more than three runs to win, so we’ll grab the price.
Many will point out that Moyer is off an excellent start, going six innings and allowing one run on four hits. This is true. However, it is also true that the Phillies are 0-7 with Moyer at home when he is off a road start in which he went at least six innings and allowed fewer than six hits. Not surprisingly, the Phillies were favored in six of the seven starts.
The Padres bounce back nicely when they are off a loss in which they allowed a lot of walks. San Diego is a perfect 9-0 off a loss as a dog in which they gave up at least five walks. This season, they are 3-0 under these conditions, winning 17-2 as a 125 home dog to the Braves, winning 4-1 as a 120 road dog in Florida and shutting out the Brewers 8-0 in a pick-em game. That’s outscoring their opponent by a 29-3. Wow.
Garland is off two straight quality starts, in which he went seven innings in each. The Padres won the two starts 1-0 and 3-2 respectively. The Padres are terrific in the role of road dog when their starter is pitching well. In fact, San Diego is 7-1 when they won their starter’s last two starts and they are a road dog. Their only loss in this situation came yesterday, by a 3-2 margin vs Halladay. Jamie Moyer is no Roy Halladay. Finally, Philadelphia is a money-burning 0-5 at home when they are off a win in which they came back from a deficit. All five games are from THIS season and Philly lost by an average of 3.8 runs at an average line of minus 178. Grab the price.
MTi’s FORECAST: San Diego 6 PHILADELPHIA 3
Matchup: Reds at Nationals
Pitchers: Leake vs Atilano
Time: 7:00pm ET
6/5 Premium Pick: REDS(ML, -135)
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Matchup: Brewers at Cardinals
Pitchers: Narveson vs Ottavino
Time: 4:00pm ET
6/5 Free Pick: CARDINALS (ML, -145)
Matchup: Tigers at Royals
Pitchers: Verlander vs Hochevar
Time: 7:00pm ET
6/5 Free Pick: TIGERS -1,5 (RL, EVEN)
Para mañana tendremos el super pick premium de las finales de la NBA, Boston en contra de Lakers para que no se lo pierdan porque con esa información hay que apostarle FUERTE!! FUERTE!!